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Peg deviation

Peg & stability

How far the market price sits from the token's reference value, in percent. USD.NET computes it as (price − peg target) ÷ peg target.

Peg deviation is the percentage gap between a stablecoin's traded price and the value it promises to track — usually one US dollar. A quote of $0.9985 against a $1.00 peg is a deviation of −0.15%.

Small deviations are normal and mostly reflect where the marginal buyer or seller is at that moment: mint/redeem friction, weekend banking hours, or a large market order hitting a thin book. Persistent deviation is a different signal — it means arbitrageurs either cannot redeem at par, or do not believe they will be paid at par.

Direction matters as much as size. A token trading consistently above peg usually signals redemption or minting bottlenecks; a token below peg signals doubt about the reserve, or holders exiting faster than the redemption pipe can absorb.

Why it matters

Deviation is the earliest observable symptom of stress. It moves before attestations, before ratings, and before the issuer publishes anything.

How to read it

  • Under 0.10%: routine market noise.
  • 0.10%–0.50%: worth watching, especially if it persists for more than a day.
  • Over 0.50%: treat as a live event — check redemption status and reserve disclosures before adding size.

See it in action

Related terms

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